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Red361
3750164.0
525178.1
5638120.1
Blue288
3130153.7
5576151.9
4198140.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382319200500600700361288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
178.10.9
175.8176.6
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 24.4
153.70.1
153.6153.7
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Second
164.01.0
161.3162.3
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
red by 12.2
151.90.6
151.2151.9
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Third
5638
#24
120.10.2
119.8119.9
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 20.2
4198
#18
140.30.5
139.8140.3
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4