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Red349
176192.6
177200.9
78175.9
Blue306
1729164.4
2170166.8
2168180.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4323050100200500600700800349306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
200.90.3
199.5199.8
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
red by 20.5
2168
#38
180.50.1
180.4180.5
Auto21.0
Teleop143.4
End15.5
Second
176
#9
192.60.4
190.2190.7
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
red by 25.7
2170
#10
166.80.0
166.8166.8
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
Third
78
#32
175.90.1
175.6175.7
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
red by 11.5
1729
#16
164.40.3
164.1164.4
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1