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Red448
6201155.7
1100169.2
1729164.4
Blue235
5687203.3
238206.5
5000142.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245457100200300400500600448235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#15
169.21.0
153.0154.0
Auto22.2
Teleop126.6
End22.1
blue by 37.3
238
#37
206.50.4
215.8216.3
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
Second
1729
#16
164.41.9
144.0145.9
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
blue by 38.9
203.30.8
200.7201.6
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
Third
6201
#25
155.70.2
149.2149.0
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
red by 13.6
5000
#63
142.10.8
164.7163.9
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed