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Red285
6328159.3
1153145.4
230220.9
Blue315
1729164.4
5813171.6
5846149.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389332100200500600700800285315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
220.90.1
221.2221.3
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
red by 49.3
5813
#19
171.60.0
172.0172.0
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
Second
6328
#26
159.30.6
160.3160.9
Auto19.0
Teleop124.2
End14.1
blue by 5.1
1729
#16
164.42.5
158.4160.9
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
Third
1153
#60
145.40.5
147.9147.3
Auto22.3
Teleop102.9
End21.2
blue by 3.6
5846
#51
149.00.3
150.5150.8
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed