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Red411
4905158.2
133214.1
558154.3
Blue339
1071151.7
1289141.6
7153107.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622630100200300400500600700411339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
214.10.4
214.1214.5
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
red by 62.4
1071
#14
151.70.5
149.5150.0
Auto17.8
Teleop114.9
End18.1
Second
4905
#28
158.20.7
156.8157.5
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End28.3
red by 16.6
1289
#43
141.60.5
141.7141.2
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
Third
558
#36
154.30.4
154.0154.5
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
red by 46.6
7153
#62
107.70.5
106.6107.0
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
89%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed