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Red291
176192.6
5856143.0
1729164.4
Blue453
4041160.1
2836156.8
319220.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366360300400450500291453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#9
192.62.0
185.4187.4
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
blue by 27.4
319
#2
220.00.2
218.1218.3
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
Second
1729
#16
164.41.7
160.9162.6
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
red by 4.3
4041
#55
160.10.6
157.6158.3
Auto20.4
Teleop117.6
End24.0
Third
5856
#50
143.00.3
144.1143.9
Auto18.9
Teleop104.3
End21.1
blue by 13.8
2836
#33
156.81.0
157.7156.7
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed65%Face the Boss oddsEarned