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Red349
1768134.6
176192.6
5962121.1
Blue272
1153145.4
1073158.4
558154.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36532202006008001,000349272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#9
192.61.3
187.4188.7
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
red by 34.1
1073
#20
158.42.2
154.7156.9
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
Second
1768
#58
134.62.3
130.5132.7
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 19.7
558
#36
154.30.1
154.5154.6
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
Third
5962
#46
121.10.4
121.7121.4
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
blue by 24.3
1153
#60
145.41.0
147.3146.4
Auto22.3
Teleop102.9
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed