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Red181
5735143.2
4176133.7
6933161.3
Blue355
5962121.1
1100169.2
999141.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364282100200400500600700181355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#56
161.30.7
176.4175.7
Auto24.3
Teleop121.3
End14.7
blue by 7.9
1100
#15
169.21.9
154.0155.9
Auto22.2
Teleop126.6
End22.1
Second
5735
#54
143.20.5
156.5155.9
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
red by 1.8
999
#52
141.40.7
140.9141.6
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Third
4176
#41
133.70.3
128.4128.7
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
red by 12.6
5962
#46
121.11.6
125.9124.3
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed