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Red275
6933161.3
4909167.0
5846149.0
Blue535
58155.7
1071151.7
811142.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374310200400500600275535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#40
167.01.0
171.3170.4
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
red by 11.4
58
#45
155.70.5
159.0158.5
Auto17.2
Teleop122.9
End15.0
Second
6933
#56
161.31.7
175.7174.0
Auto24.3
Teleop121.3
End14.7
red by 9.6
1071
#14
151.70.8
139.6140.4
Auto17.8
Teleop114.9
End18.1
Third
5846
#51
149.01.0
145.8146.8
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
red by 6.1
811
#35
142.90.4
144.3143.9
Auto23.2
Teleop105.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed