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Red306
78175.9
319220.0
2067163.3
Blue420
195242.5
1100169.2
2342154.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39837502006008001,0001,2001,400306420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#2
220.01.0
220.7221.7
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
blue by 22.6
195
#1
242.51.8
227.1228.9
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
Second
78
#32
175.90.5
185.0185.5
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
red by 6.8
1100
#15
169.22.4
155.9158.2
Auto22.2
Teleop126.6
End22.1
Third
2067
#39
163.30.0
167.9167.9
Auto22.0
Teleop116.8
End25.8
red by 9.3
2342
#53
154.01.3
150.8152.1
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned26%Face the Boss oddsEarned