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Qual 292018 New England District Championship
Red504
177200.9
238206.5
6329156.4
Blue178
1058172.5
663156.5
2877182.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379328150200250300350400450500550504178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#37
206.51.3
215.2→213.9
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
red by 24.1
2877
#17
182.40.7
180.9→180.2
Auto25.2
Teleop140.0
End17.7
Second
177
#3
200.90.0
190.1→190.1
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
red by 28.4
1058
#42
172.51.4
179.8→178.4
Auto18.6
Teleop126.6
End26.9
Third
6329
#30
156.41.2
155.9→157.0
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
blue by 0.1
663
#57
156.51.1
168.8→167.7
Auto18.4
Teleop122.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed