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Red364
6328159.3
2877182.4
7127131.0
Blue239
3623163.7
4041160.1
1100169.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343355100200300400500600700364239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
182.41.5
180.2178.7
Auto25.2
Teleop140.0
End17.7
red by 13.2
1100
#15
169.22.3
158.2160.5
Auto22.2
Teleop126.6
End22.1
Second
6328
#26
159.31.6
157.5159.1
Auto19.0
Teleop124.2
End14.1
blue by 4.4
3623
#21
163.71.6
154.5156.1
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
Third
7127
#12
131.00.2
130.5130.7
Auto19.2
Teleop98.4
End15.7
blue by 29.0
4041
#55
160.10.3
158.8158.5
Auto20.4
Teleop117.6
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed