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Red441
3623163.7
5687203.3
6763178.3
Blue209
1519179.8
6329156.4
319220.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336390100200300500600700441209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.31.0
200.9201.9
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
blue by 16.7
319
#2
220.00.2
221.9222.1
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
Second
6763
#18
178.30.1
175.1175.1
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
blue by 1.5
1519
#31
179.81.7
183.7182.0
Auto22.2
Teleop141.1
End18.0
Third
3623
#21
163.70.7
157.5158.3
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
red by 7.3
6329
#30
156.40.1
160.7160.8
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed