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Red324
4041160.1
61174.3
558154.3
Blue453
5813171.6
2067163.3
1073158.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334390100200300500600700324453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#23
174.30.4
178.5178.1
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End21.5
red by 2.6
5813
#19
171.60.4
171.3171.7
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
Second
4041
#55
160.10.3
157.9157.6
Auto20.4
Teleop117.6
End24.0
blue by 3.2
2067
#39
163.30.2
164.7164.4
Auto22.0
Teleop116.8
End25.8
Third
558
#36
154.30.1
153.6153.7
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
blue by 4.2
1073
#20
158.41.9
150.0151.9
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed