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Red299
237173.5
5000142.1
4176133.7
Blue458
467143.1
2170166.8
2877182.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893930100200500600299458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#27
173.50.7
171.7172.4
Auto20.7
Teleop126.8
End25.9
blue by 8.9
2877
#17
182.40.6
176.9177.6
Auto25.2
Teleop140.0
End17.7
Second
5000
#63DQ
142.12.3
153.1150.8
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
blue by 24.8
2170
#10
166.81.5
163.0164.5
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
Third
4176
#41
133.70.7
130.8131.5
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
blue by 9.4
467
#22
143.11.2
136.5137.7
Auto18.1
Teleop106.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsEarned