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Red294
5735143.2
177200.9
5813171.6
Blue381
133214.1
811142.9
176192.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370367300350400450500294381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
200.91.1
188.7189.8
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
blue by 13.2
133
#4
214.10.7
210.7211.4
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
Second
5813
#19
171.61.0
172.8173.8
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
blue by 20.9
176
#9
192.61.6
180.0178.5
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
Third
5735
#54
143.20.1
156.4156.5
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
red by 0.3
811
#35
142.90.3
143.6143.9
Auto23.2
Teleop105.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed