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Red359
175184.3
5422116.6
6763178.3
Blue353
1768134.6
1729164.4
4041160.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356306200400500359353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#5
184.30.1
180.5180.3
Auto22.7
Teleop131.8
End30.8
red by 19.8
1729
#16
164.42.3
156.0158.4
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
Second
6763
#18
178.30.4
175.7176.1
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
red by 18.2
4041
#55
160.10.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.4
Teleop117.6
End24.0
Third
5422
#49
116.61.6
111.1112.7
Auto16.1
Teleop93.2
End6.8
blue by 18.0
1768
#58
134.60.4
129.1128.7
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed