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Red385
176192.6
177200.9
78175.9
Blue253
125214.9
133214.1
238206.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3564180200600800385253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
200.90.3
200.2200.5
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
blue by 14.0
125
#13
214.90.3
215.2214.9
Auto25.7
Teleop162.1
End25.7
Second
176
#9
192.60.4
191.5191.9
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
blue by 21.6
133
#4
214.10.2
214.3214.1
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
Third
78
#32
175.90.1
175.7175.8
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
blue by 30.6
238
#37
206.50.3
206.8206.5
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6