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Red252
3128176.5
118228.6
3310216.6
Blue313
4061157.2
1619219.0
1678252.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42835602006008001,000252313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
228.60.0
228.6228.7
Auto26.8
Teleop164.4
End34.9
blue by 24.2
252.80.0
252.7252.8
Auto29.4
Teleop173.0
End49.2
Second
216.60.3
216.1216.4
Auto25.2
Teleop165.3
End26.6
blue by 2.4
219.00.1
219.3219.2
Auto25.2
Teleop156.0
End35.7
Third
3128
#24
176.50.2
176.3176.5
Auto21.0
Teleop124.1
End31.7
red by 19.3
4061
#21
157.20.2
156.9157.1
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6