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Red368
5104144.9
971204.2
1251147.8
Blue262
4513187.5
6844122.0
7067122.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418269100200500600700368262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
204.20.3
204.1204.4
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
red by 16.7
4513
#10
187.50.9
185.5186.4
Auto22.1
Teleop143.3
End20.5
Second
1251
#18
147.81.6
146.2147.8
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
red by 24.9
7067
#61DQ
122.90.1
122.8122.9
Auto18.9
Teleop89.4
End13.8
Third
5104
#12
144.90.1
144.8145.0
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
red by 22.9
6844
#13
122.01.5
120.6122.0
Auto17.4
Teleop91.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed