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Qual 232018 Newton Division
Red409
4576132.7
1723200.9
5199178.1
Blue307
6474173.2
6891102.8
5654178.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420297100200500600700800409307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#37
200.91.3
198.5→199.8
Auto23.9
Teleop147.9
End30.4
red by 22.0
5654
#22
178.90.1
183.8→183.7
Auto20.3
Teleop130.7
End26.9
Second
5199
#23
178.12.3
164.7→167.0
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
red by 5.0
6474
#30
173.20.7
167.5→168.2
Auto19.7
Teleop130.9
End21.3
Third
4576
#32
132.70.8
123.1→123.9
Auto16.5
Teleop99.9
End17.8
red by 30.0
6891
#60
102.80.8
102.8→102.0
Auto15.3
Teleop76.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed