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Red179
3737153.8
7303112.4
1868139.1
Blue446
4125125.2
1678252.8
1251147.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454250100200300500600700179446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#39
153.80.4
156.7157.2
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End26.2
blue by 98.9
252.80.8
252.7252.0
Auto29.4
Teleop173.0
End49.2
Second
1868
#59
139.10.8
139.1139.9
Auto17.1
Teleop108.7
End13.2
blue by 8.7
1251
#18
147.80.8
137.2138.0
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
Third
7303
#56
112.40.0
114.3114.3
Auto17.8
Teleop85.4
End10.2
blue by 12.8
4125
#45
125.20.9
126.8125.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed65%Face the Boss oddsEarned