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Red386
3158127.1
6377141.3
5663177.0
Blue224
5849115.8
6510155.7
7134107.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602370100200300400500600700386224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5663
#20
177.01.7
166.4168.1
Auto20.8
Teleop140.5
End11.9
red by 21.3
6510
#26
155.70.1
149.7149.8
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
Second
6377
#46
141.30.6
135.2134.7
Auto14.4
Teleop109.6
End17.4
red by 25.5
5849
#53
115.81.1
118.2117.1
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
Third
3158
#19
127.10.4
122.1121.7
Auto19.4
Teleop95.9
End12.7
red by 19.8
7134
#44
107.30.1
103.6103.7
Auto17.3
Teleop81.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed