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Qual 562018 Newton Division
Red200
7190119.7
4576132.7
1251147.8
Blue424
3309216.6
4061157.2
5098129.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2094050100300500600700200424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#18
147.80.9
139.1→140.0
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
blue by 68.8
3309
#5
216.60.3
212.8→213.1
Auto24.5
Teleop156.6
End37.4
Second
4576
#32
132.71.6
124.8→126.3
Auto16.5
Teleop99.9
End17.8
blue by 24.5
4061
#21
157.21.2
149.5→150.7
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6
Third
7190
#63
119.70.6
117.6→118.2
Auto14.5
Teleop91.6
End16.8
blue by 9.3
5098
#57
129.10.9
129.3→128.4
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned