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Red390
2840121.2
5849115.8
681497.6
Blue399
5104144.9
3473142.3
2367127.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263610100300400500600390399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2840
#65
121.20.7
120.8121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop90.1
End15.2
blue by 23.7
5104
#12
144.90.3
145.5145.7
Auto16.6
Teleop111.7
End15.1
Second
5849
#53
115.81.2
118.3119.5
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
blue by 26.5
3473
#40
142.31.5
137.8139.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Third
6814
#47
97.60.8
100.499.6
Auto16.3
Teleop75.3
End8.2
blue by 30.0
2367
#17
127.60.9
118.0119.0
Auto17.7
Teleop97.5
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed