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Red378
1251147.8
5199178.1
7134107.3
Blue222
7128103.0
3472131.6
6508164.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352271100200400500600700378222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#23
178.11.3
172.9174.2
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
red by 14.1
6508
#33
164.00.7
165.8165.2
Auto20.2
Teleop118.7
End25.0
Second
1251
#18
147.81.0
140.0140.9
Auto18.4
Teleop110.5
End17.2
red by 16.1
3472
#66
131.60.3
132.5132.1
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Third
7134
#44
107.30.4
103.8104.2
Auto17.3
Teleop81.5
End10.7
red by 4.3
7128
#64
103.00.1
100.2100.2
Auto17.0
Teleop76.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed