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Red229
3473142.3
5700138.4
3501150.3
Blue414
971204.2
4270123.3
5997147.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294376100200500600229414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#62
150.30.2
150.8150.6
Auto17.5
Teleop120.4
End11.5
blue by 53.9
971
#9
204.20.1
203.6203.7
Auto23.3
Teleop146.1
End33.8
Second
3473
#40
142.30.6
141.6142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
blue by 5.2
5997
#43
147.50.0
145.8145.8
Auto15.2
Teleop108.3
End23.6
Third
5700
#67
138.41.2
144.8143.5
Auto18.8
Teleop97.0
End19.6
red by 15.1
4270
#49
123.30.6
121.5122.1
Auto17.4
Teleop91.9
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed