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Red149
624230.5
6871116.5
170093.1
Blue475
1678252.8
3473142.3
968171.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2394570100200300400500600700149475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#8
230.50.2
231.0231.2
Auto26.5
Teleop161.0
End41.9
blue by 22.2
252.80.3
251.0251.2
Auto29.4
Teleop173.0
End49.2
Second
6871
#34
116.50.6
119.1118.4
Auto16.8
Teleop83.9
End15.8
blue by 54.8
968
#16
171.30.5
168.8169.3
Auto23.7
Teleop132.4
End16.2
Third
1700
#51
93.11.3
96.995.6
Auto16.9
Teleop70.8
End4.7
blue by 49.2
3473
#40
142.30.1
142.3142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsMissed79%Face the Boss oddsEarned