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Red383
5199178.1
118228.6
3140154.9
Blue288
2403183.8
5098129.1
5802199.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4393220100200400500600700800383288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
228.60.3
228.5228.8
Auto26.8
Teleop164.4
End34.9
red by 29.3
5802
#50
199.30.8
199.7200.4
Auto22.6
Teleop150.3
End23.4
Second
5199
#23
178.10.7
175.6176.3
Auto24.1
Teleop127.7
End24.4
blue by 5.7
2403
#11
183.80.8
181.1181.9
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
Third
3140
#28
154.90.6
153.2153.7
Auto18.9
Teleop122.1
End15.7
red by 25.8
5098
#57
129.10.6
128.2128.8
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
67%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed