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Red303
6645100.9
2403183.8
7128103.0
Blue306
2980136.6
3501150.3
6844122.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278347100200400500600303306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#11
183.80.3
181.9182.2
Auto24.2
Teleop136.8
End23.0
red by 33.5
3501
#62
150.30.0
150.0150.1
Auto17.5
Teleop120.4
End11.5
Second
7128
#64
103.00.9
100.8101.7
Auto17.0
Teleop76.3
End11.4
blue by 33.6
2980
#29
136.60.5
135.5136.0
Auto15.5
Teleop105.4
End17.3
Third
6645
#41
100.90.5
99.499.9
Auto16.5
Teleop79.6
End8.0
blue by 21.1
6844
#13
122.01.6
118.9120.6
Auto17.4
Teleop91.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed