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Red126
5849115.8
5726117.1
3473142.3
Blue452
3472131.6
4576132.7
3164139.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270339100200300400500126452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#40
142.30.3
142.3142.6
Auto16.9
Teleop112.8
End15.0
red by 2.7
3164
#25
139.60.2
137.9138.1
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End19.5
Second
5726
#58
117.10.2
117.1117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop85.7
End16.6
blue by 15.6
4576
#32
132.71.0
130.0131.1
Auto16.5
Teleop99.9
End17.8
Third
5849
#53
115.80.1
116.0116.1
Auto14.5
Teleop81.0
End22.1
blue by 15.8
3472
#66
131.60.4
131.6131.2
Auto14.9
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed