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Red423
4061157.2
1619219.0
1678252.8
Blue195
1982143.9
624230.5
5554183.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434346100200300400500600700800423195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.80.1
252.6252.7
Auto29.4
Teleop173.0
End49.2
red by 22.2
624
#8
230.50.1
230.6230.5
Auto26.5
Teleop161.0
End41.9
Second
219.00.1
219.3219.3
Auto25.2
Teleop156.0
End35.7
red by 35.7
5554
#36
183.30.3
183.0183.3
Auto19.9
Teleop133.3
End29.4
Third
4061
#21
157.20.2
156.6156.9
Auto24.0
Teleop116.9
End16.6
red by 13.3
1982
#42
143.90.1
143.8143.9
Auto20.3
Teleop113.0
End7.3