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Red265
131170.4
4564199.4
213130.3
Blue241
238172.6
1519183.5
4546131.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327331200250300350400265241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.40.0
199.5199.5
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
red by 15.9
183.50.0
183.5183.5
Auto22.4
Teleop148.0
End11.3
Second
131
#15
170.40.3
171.1170.8
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
blue by 2.2
238
#7
172.60.0
172.7172.7
Auto14.7
Teleop139.1
End19.9
Third
213
#24
130.30.9
132.2131.3
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
blue by 1.6
4546
#23
131.90.7
133.4132.6
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End12.3