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Quarterfinal 1-32018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red366
5813189.0
319219.3
4925101.4
Blue322
1729150.7
5687176.9
2648129.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632610100200300400500600700366322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.30.5
217.4→217.9
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
red by 42.5
5687
#11
176.90.0
176.9→176.9
Auto19.9
Teleop138.7
End18.9
Second
5813
#3
189.00.2
188.2→188.4
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
red by 38.3
1729
#17
150.70.4
151.1→150.7
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
Third
4925
#25
101.40.6
103.7→103.0
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
blue by 28.3
2648
#22
129.70.8
130.5→129.7
Auto14.0
Teleop101.7
End11.3