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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red263
131170.4
4564199.4
213130.3
Blue312
4909171.0
58147.2
501111.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962590100200300500600700800263312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#5
199.40.2
199.3→199.5
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
red by 28.4
4909
#12
171.00.4
172.0→171.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.3
End22.6
Second
131
#15
170.40.3
173.1→172.9
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
red by 23.2
58
#8
147.20.3
147.9→147.6
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
Third
213
#24
130.31.2
138.8→137.6
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
red by 18.5
501
#21
111.80.3
110.9→111.2
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6