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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red234
131170.4
4564199.4
213130.3
Blue232
4909171.0
58147.2
501111.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3962640100200500600700800234232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#5
199.40.1
199.6→199.7
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
red by 28.4
4909
#12
171.00.3
171.2→171.0
Auto19.9
Teleop125.3
End22.6
Second
131
#15
170.40.3
172.5→172.3
Auto16.9
Teleop137.9
End15.2
red by 23.2
58
#8
147.20.2
147.4→147.2
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
Third
213
#24
130.31.1
136.4→135.4
Auto20.8
Teleop93.9
End12.3
red by 18.5
501
#21
111.80.3
111.5→111.8
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6