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Qual 142018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red219
1729150.7
4925101.4
1831118.4
Blue355
4546131.9
5687176.9
1519183.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1644040600800219355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#17
150.70.0
153.4→153.4
Auto17.5
Teleop119.0
End11.5
blue by 32.8
1519
#4
183.50.6
183.9→183.3
Auto22.4
Teleop148.0
End11.3
Second
1831
#9
118.41.6
122.4→120.9
Auto17.1
Teleop91.6
End7.1
blue by 58.4
5687
#11
176.91.4
180.0→178.6
Auto19.9
Teleop138.7
End18.9
Third
4925
#25
101.41.7
107.9→106.3
Auto16.2
Teleop84.1
End-1.8
blue by 30.5
4546
#23
131.91.0
139.5→138.5
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed