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Red346
238172.6
5813189.0
1922126.5
Blue314
4564199.4
4546131.9
58147.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340340250300400450346314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.1
186.9187.0
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
blue by 10.4
199.40.2
199.0199.2
Auto24.7
Teleop146.4
End28.4
Second
238
#7
172.61.4
174.5173.2
Auto14.7
Teleop139.1
End19.9
red by 25.4
58
#8
147.20.8
149.6148.8
Auto19.9
Teleop112.5
End12.1
Third
1922
#19
126.50.5
124.8125.2
Auto19.2
Teleop91.3
End15.1
blue by 5.4
4546
#23
131.91.0
138.5137.5
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed