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Red317
509149.2
213146.0
1247119.8
Blue335
1073147.4
1071137.2
332395.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34231502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600317335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#9
149.20.5
148.7149.2
Auto17.0
Teleop106.1
End27.7
red by 1.8
1073
#10
147.40.2
146.6146.9
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
213
#6
146.00.4
145.6146.0
Auto22.3
Teleop102.5
End20.9
red by 8.7
137.20.7
135.2135.9
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
Third
1247
#16
119.80.2
119.6119.8
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
red by 24.0
3323
#26
95.80.3
95.095.3
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2