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Red54
731486.8
3609121.1
7212116.9
Blue208
5633123.9
5506116.8
4929107.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26326010015020030035040054208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3609
#13
121.11.3
113.2114.4
Auto14.4
Teleop89.2
End19.6
blue by 2.8
5633
#15
123.90.7
131.1130.4
Auto17.8
Teleop92.7
End11.6
Second
7212
#23DQ
116.910.2
92.1102.4
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End10.9
red by 0.1
5506
#18
116.80.8
111.6112.4
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
Third
7314
#20
86.80.9
88.887.9
Auto12.3
Teleop69.1
End9.7
blue by 20.5
4929
#39
107.35.1
93.198.3
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed