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Red192
5506116.8
1307113.2
1721136.2
Blue228
1699148.4
7133100.8
213146.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553290100200300400500192228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#12
136.20.7
117.8118.5
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
blue by 12.2
1699
#11
148.40.7
138.5139.2
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
Second
5506
#18
116.80.1
112.4112.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
blue by 29.1
213
#6
146.01.0
139.2140.3
Auto22.3
Teleop102.5
End20.9
Third
1307
#35
113.20.8
117.7116.9
Auto15.4
Teleop89.7
End8.3
red by 12.5
7133
#34
100.80.4
98.498.8
Auto16.7
Teleop75.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed