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Red387
3451122.9
131142.2
501122.7
Blue198
166131.4
1247119.8
4546136.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573120100200400500600700800387198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
142.20.9
131.4132.3
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
red by 5.6
4546
#28
136.62.7
118.3121.0
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
Second
3451
#31
122.90.4
112.4112.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End18.8
blue by 8.6
166
#32
131.41.4
132.5131.1
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
Third
501
#5
122.72.0
97.799.7
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
red by 2.9
1247
#16
119.81.4
112.1113.5
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed