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Red325
1247119.8
4925109.3
4958122.9
Blue229
4555122.6
6691116.2
166131.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282271200220240260300320340360325229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4958
#19
122.90.8
119.6120.4
Auto15.3
Teleop91.1
End17.0
blue by 8.5
166
#32
131.41.6
131.1129.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
Second
1247
#16
119.80.6
113.5114.1
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
blue by 2.8
4555
#29
122.61.1
113.6114.7
Auto17.2
Teleop94.6
End9.4
Third
4925
#25
109.31.1
109.9108.9
Auto16.5
Teleop87.4
End5.9
blue by 6.9
6691
#41
116.20.4
117.5117.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.9
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed