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Red167
1699148.4
1786101.3
1512113.8
Blue320
131142.2
3609121.1
5813172.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243490100300400500600167320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#11
148.40.2
138.7138.9
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
blue by 24.4
172.81.1
152.4153.5
Auto26.4
Teleop131.3
End15.6
Second
1512
#17
113.80.1
111.8112.0
Auto17.5
Teleop94.1
End2.1
blue by 28.3
131
#8
142.20.3
130.2130.5
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
Third
1786
#38
101.31.1
108.1107.1
Auto15.5
Teleop80.5
End5.2
blue by 19.8
3609
#13
121.10.6
111.8112.5
Auto14.4
Teleop89.2
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed