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Red179
1786101.3
4929107.3
7212116.9
Blue408
1721136.2
166131.4
5813172.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123770100300500600179408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7212
#23
116.92.8
111.5114.3
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End10.9
blue by 55.9
172.80.8
160.5161.3
Auto26.4
Teleop131.3
End15.6
Second
4929
#39
107.32.9
103.2106.0
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
blue by 28.9
1721
#12
136.23.3
120.7124.1
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
Third
1786
#38
101.30.5
101.2100.6
Auto15.5
Teleop80.5
End5.2
blue by 30.1
166
#32
131.40.1
128.3128.4
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed