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Red239
4929107.3
166131.4
6762113.7
Blue187
7133100.8
332395.8
5633123.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262330100200400500600239187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#32
131.40.8
128.4129.2
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
red by 7.5
5633
#15
123.91.3
128.2126.9
Auto17.8
Teleop92.7
End11.6
Second
6762
#14
113.70.4
114.7114.3
Auto14.7
Teleop87.9
End11.4
red by 12.9
7133
#34
100.80.6
99.6100.2
Auto16.7
Teleop75.5
End7.3
Third
4929
#39
107.31.8
106.0107.8
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
red by 11.5
3323
#26
95.81.7
98.296.5
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed