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Red258
1786101.3
4546136.6
6690118.9
Blue411
3499102.2
1071137.2
1073147.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253327100200300400500258411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#28
136.62.3
124.8127.1
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
blue by 10.8
1073
#10
147.42.2
139.7141.9
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
6690
#33
118.92.0
122.8120.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.4
End14.6
blue by 18.3
137.21.3
127.1128.4
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
Third
1786
#38
101.30.4
100.6100.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.5
End5.2
blue by 0.9
3499
#40
102.21.9
104.1102.3
Auto13.5
Teleop77.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed