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Red273
1247119.8
1512113.8
6762113.7
Blue308
731486.8
1071137.2
3597113.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022570100200400500273308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1247
#16
119.81.2
115.4116.6
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
blue by 17.4
137.21.9
128.4130.3
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
Second
1512
#17
113.81.3
111.6112.8
Auto17.5
Teleop94.1
End2.1
red by 0.6
3597
#24
113.31.0
110.0111.0
Auto13.5
Teleop88.2
End11.6
Third
6762
#14
113.70.5
114.3113.9
Auto14.7
Teleop87.9
End11.4
red by 26.9
7314
#20
86.80.2
84.184.3
Auto12.3
Teleop69.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed