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Red180
4925109.3
4929107.3
6691116.2
Blue450
6367113.5
319219.0
131142.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854380100300400500600700800180450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6691
#41
116.20.6
118.6118.0
Auto13.6
Teleop86.9
End15.5
blue by 102.8
319
#1
219.02.4
209.3211.7
Auto27.3
Teleop154.5
End37.8
Second
4925
#25
109.30.6
108.2108.9
Auto16.5
Teleop87.4
End5.9
blue by 32.9
131
#8
142.21.6
138.7140.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
Third
4929
#39
107.31.0
107.8108.8
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
blue by 6.2
6367
#22
113.50.7
107.8108.6
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed