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Red428
4546136.6
332395.8
1699148.4
Blue142
15197.0
6895106.9
1073147.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287298150200250350400428142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#11
148.40.5
142.6143.0
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
red by 1.0
1073
#10
147.42.7
141.9144.5
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
4546
#28
136.62.3
127.1129.4
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
red by 29.7
6895
#36
106.91.2
109.1110.3
Auto14.1
Teleop84.0
End6.0
Third
3323
#26
95.81.6
96.594.9
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2
blue by 1.2
151
#37
97.00.6
96.897.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed